Alternative Premier League table after 33 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 33 games, based on expected goals
The Premier League fixtures at the weekend may have been decimated by the FA Cup semi-finals but we still saw plenty of action.Liverpool are back on top of the table, ahead of Manchester City, thanks to a 3-1 comeback win over Southampton, while Arsenal failed to capitalise on Tottenham’s inaction as they lost 1-0 to Everton.12

Liverpool players celebrate Mohamed Salah’s goal against Southampton.

Elsewhere, Leicester City kept their European hopes alive with a 4-1 victory over Huddersfield, Crystal Palace grabbed a 1-0 victory over Newcastle United, and Burnley eased relegation fears by beating Bournemouth 3-1.Fulham and Huddersfield might be relegated but everything is still to play for and it’s setting up for an intense finale.Most clubs have six matches to go after several games in hand were played this week and we’re still none the wiser about how the final standing will end.But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by ‘Expected Goals’? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

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20. Huddersfield – Real position = 20Games played – 33Real points = 14 | Expected points = 26.1619. Fulham – Real position = 19Games played – 33Real points = 17 | Expected points = 29.2912

Fulham will spend next season in the Championship

18. Cardiff City – Real position = 18Games played – 32Real points = 28 | Expected points = 30.8817. Brighton & Hove Albion – Real position = 16Games played – 31Real points = 33 | Expected points = 31.0012

Brighton striker Florin Andone celebrates a match-winning goal

16. Newcastle United – Real position = 15Games played – 33Real points = 35 | Expected points = 32.0415. West Ham – Real position = 11Games played – 32Real points = 42 | Expected points = 35.2114. Southampton – Real position = 17Games played – 32Real points = 33 | Expected points = 35.6913. Burnley – Real position = 14Games played – 33Real points = 36 | Expected points = 37.3312

Burnley star Chris Wood celebrates.

12. Watford – Real position = 10Games played – 32Real points = 46 | Expected points = 41.9711. Bournemouth – Real position = 13Games played – 33Real points = 38 | Expected points = 42.5610. Everton – Real position = 9Games played – 33Real points = 46 | Expected points = 45.1012

Everton players celebrate with Gylfi Sigurdsson.

9. Crystal Palace – Real position = 12Games played – 33Real points = 39 | Expected points = 45.768. Leicester – Real position = 7Games played – 33Real points = 47 | Expected points = 49.777. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 8Games played – 32Real points = 47 | Expected points = 49.8412

Diogo Jota scored Wolves’ opener against Man United

6. Arsenal – Real position = 4Games played – 32Real points = 63 | Expected points = 50.7612

Aaron Ramsey scored and captained Arsenal to a 2-0 win over Newcastle on Monday

5. Manchester United – Real position = 6Games played – 32Real points = 61 | Expected points = 53.34Getty12

It was a dreadful night for Man United and Solskjaer at the Molineux on Tuesday

4. Tottenham – Real position = 3Games played – 32Real points = 64 | Expected points = 53.3512

Tottenham Hotspur players celebrate

3. Chelsea – Real position = 5Games played – 32Real points = 63 | Expected points = 59.76getty12

Chelsea starlet Callum Hudson-Odoi

2. Liverpool – Real position = 1Games played – 33Real points = 82 | Expected points = 72.9912

Liverpool beat Spurs 2-1 last weekend

1. Manchester City – Real position = 2Games played – 32Real points = 80 | Expected points = 77.2512

Will Manchester City be celebrating at the end of the season?

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Manchester City kept the pressure on Premier League leaders Liverpool by beating West Ham 1-0 at the Etihad Stadium. The midweek matches also saw Chelsea, who dropped Kepa Arrizabalaga following his antics during the Carabao Cup final, beat Tottenham, while Arsenal and Manchester United claimed victories.

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hollywoodadviser.com/alternative-premier-league-table-after-35-games-based-on-expected-goals/
But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
Alternative Premier League table after 35 games, based on